A framework for judging any confident-sounding setup — ours or anyone else's — before it changes what you do with real money.
Every setup has a measurable part (a Point of Control, an anchored VWAP, an indicator reading) and a narrative part ("bullish reversal," "institutional accumulation"). Learn to separate them before you weigh either.
A stated invalidation level tells you where the thesis would be proven wrong. A clean risk-to-reward ratio doesn't protect you from a fast invalidation — Chapter 3's setup got stopped out the same session it triggered.
Iceberg orders, block trades, dark-pool references solve real problems, for real institutional size. Check whether the language matches the size of the trade it's attached to.
A gap-up open can look like confirmation and still end the day down 7%. Track the whole resolved outcome, not just the exciting part.
Chapters 3 and 4 are both Confident Flops, shown with the same detail as Chapter 2's win. A source that only shows you the winners isn't giving you an honest picture.